arborist/bench
russell@unturf.com d57e5c1435
#000049 §7 #26: mining for real recombinations + the pooled-808-STRICT check — verdict settles on margin@0.995
(a) Mined the pooled n=1+3+5 bench-qa runs (808 distinct STRICT answers)
for natural recombinations at lowered θc≥0.7 → 37 would-fires, ALL
token-collision FPs on inspection (Mount Kenya pulled into a Kilimanjaro
answer, Dalí into da Vinci, Donovan into Superman). ZERO genuine
recombination errors — the boundary is theoretical-in-practice; the
failure mode is the candidate selector (top-k by token overlap) pulling
different-entity same-subject-area clauses.

(b) Re-ran the grid against the 808-cell pooled STRICT set: the §7 #25
'max@0.96' was itself a small-sample artifact — the n=5 444-cell set
lacked the high-confidence spurious hits the pooled set has. On 808
cells θc goes back to ~0.995, and at θc=0.995 only agg=margin still
catches 28/28 (max gets 27/28). microsoft/deberta-large-mnli / k=3 /
agg=margin / θc=0.995 → 28/28 synthetic recombinations · 0/808 pooled
real STRICT FP · 0/26 synthetic legit — the ONLY config in the
7-model×full-grid sweep that hits 1.0/0.0 on 808 cells, held at n=3
too. recommended_operating_point reverted to margin@0.995.

Realistic next check: ~20-30 hand-built synthetic-recombination-vs-
real-bench-qa-context fixtures (real haystack, deliberate re-attribution).
Still SHADOW; runtime promotion fox+dav1d-decides. Production verifier
unchanged; falsification-hard stays 10/12.

Meta-lesson instance five: a bigger sample can vindicate a config a
smaller one made look unnecessary — re-confirm the config choice (not
just the threshold) each time the denominator grows.
2026-05-12 21:11:35 -04:00
..
batteries #000025 §10.11 + §10.13 + §10.14 — close the 5F battery 2026-05-11 07:41:37 -04:00
fixtures #000048 step 2.4 — parse_pointer_claims clause segmentation 2026-05-11 17:09:06 -04:00
results #000049 §7 #26: mining for real recombinations + the pooled-808-STRICT check — verdict settles on margin@0.995 2026-05-12 21:11:35 -04:00
scripts nli_shadow_grid: expand to no-stone-unturned sweep — 7 aggregations (incl. margin + paired-entail guard), finer θc grid (20 pts up to 0.999), --extra-models flag, global-best-fp=0 + Pareto-frontier output per model 2026-05-12 18:30:40 -04:00
emergent_log.jsonl #000006 — +30 emergent cycles (2026-05-12); verifier-ladder health re-confirmed 2026-05-12 11:28:57 -04:00
prometheus_sigma_trigger_probe.py #000012 Phase 1c follow-through: wire #000037 §12 Trigger 1 probe to fork_score_branches 2026-05-11 06:56:09 -04:00
qa_questions.txt aborist/arborist 2026-05-07 09:31:49 -04:00
qa_questions_canonical_witness_npower.txt three-thread session output: stale TODOs, N-power probe, ForkScore Phase 1c 2026-05-10 07:46:35 -04:00
qa_questions_metacog_subset.txt qa(#000011 + 4 more): SOFT_PREFLIGHT_HINT impl + 5-task fan-out 2026-05-03 23:00:56 -04:00
qa_questions_progressive_and.txt bench: progressive-AND fixture + 2026-05-09 A/B baseline report 2026-05-10 06:35:18 -04:00
qa_questions_quantifier_baseline.txt bench(#000008): harness extension — FC rate, violation kinds, raw brackets 2026-05-02 18:35:08 -04:00
qa_questions_quantifier_subset.txt ticket(#000008): §12 dry-run bench findings + --policy harness flag 2026-05-03 08:39:20 -04:00
qa_questions_smoke.txt speed: pytest-xdist, bench smoke, concurrency default; UTF surrogate fix 2026-05-02 09:29:40 -04:00
qa_questions_warrant_chain_aggressive.txt bench: aggressive warrant fixture confirms Phase 3 is rescue-only, not default-path 2026-05-10 09:53:21 -04:00
qa_questions_warrant_chain_paraphrase.txt bench: Phase 3 paraphrase fixture investigation — empirically dormant on current corpus 2026-05-10 10:06:23 -04:00
qa_questions_warrant_chain_probe.txt bench: #000031 Phase 3 A/B finds mechanism dormant on warrant-targeted fixture 2026-05-10 09:37:27 -04:00
qa_sweep.py bench/qa_sweep: scrub lone surrogates from the NLI-shadow answer_text/context fields before json.dumps 2026-05-12 17:04:33 -04:00
run.sh aborist/arborist 2026-05-07 09:31:49 -04:00