arborist/docs/qa-modes-bench.md
russell@unturf.com 7bb11ed62f
#000048 step 2.4 — parse_pointer_claims clause segmentation
Closes the 8 mis-segments #000046 left in formulate-hard-v1.jsonl.
The parser was line/bullet-only — one line ⇒ one claim — so a line
that crammed several pointered claims onto one row ("Water is wet
[E1]; fire is hot [E2]", "X happened [E1]. Y followed [E2]") became
one monolithic claim with all the pointers, and a wrapped bullet
became two.

arborist/qa/parse_claims.py: _SEGMENT_SEP_RE splits a line on ';',
sentence boundaries ('. '/'! '/'? ' then a Capital), spaced dashes
(' - '/' — '/' – '), ' and '/' or '/' because '/' although '/' since
'/' while ', inline '(N)' enumeration markers, and commas — with
'(?![^\[]*\])' so a comma inside a [E1, E2] bracket never splits it.
_segment_line keeps the split ONLY IF every resulting non-empty
segment is a well-pointered claim — a legit single claim ("The cat
is black and white [E1].", "The cast: A, B, C [E1].") is never
broken because splitting it would manufacture pointer-less prose
fragments → guard rejects; a leading colon-terminated header with no
pointer ("Two facts:", "Key points:") is allowed and dropped. Plus a
wrapped-bullet join: a continuation line (leading whitespace then a
lowercase letter, no bullet glyph) folds its text + pointers into the
previous claim.

Effect: formulate-hard rate 4/12 → 12/12 (the pack is now at ceiling
— a harder Formulate tier would re-open below-ceiling headroom; a
#000046 follow-up). Remaining #000048 headroom: 2 STRICT_PARAPHRASE
recombinations in falsification-hard (Mercury, Einstein — step 2.2).

Bench gate: make bench-qa (n=3 × 75 × 3 = 675 cells; parse_pointer_claims
feeds the 450 claim_lattice_pointer + claim_lattice cells) after
(bench/qa_results/2026-05-11T20-26-37Z) vs the pre-step-2.4 baseline
(...T17-12-41Z = HEAD's parse_claims.py). STRICT-rate quote 0.54→0.55,
pointer 0.22→0.22, lattice 0.43→0.45 — all within the 5-pp noise
floor. Per-row diff: the segmenter changed the parsed-claim count on
the SAME answer text for 7 of the 450 lattice cells (0 in
claim_lattice, 7 in claim_lattice_pointer); of those, 2 caused an
audit_mode change — both correct: a wrap-join recovered an answer's
intended structure (4 claims, 2 pointer-less wrap-fragments → HYBRID)
into 2 well-pointered claims → STRICT; and a crammed-one-line blob (1
monolithic claim, all pointers → STRICT) split into 8 claims, some
not individually verifying → HYBRID (the honest verdict — false-
positive STRICT was the corruption). Every other lattice/quote delta
is LLM re-answer variance. No regression — the segmenter's only
visible effects on real traffic are honest improvements. Summarized
in qa-modes-bench.md Addendum 7 + ticket-000048 §5 step 2.4.

Tests: 8 new in test_claim_lattice.py (semicolon/sentence/conjunction
splits; pointerless-fragment + cast-list guards; leading-colon-header
drop; wrapped-bullet join; pointer-order/multi-pointer); existing
parse_pointer_claims tests pass untouched; test_5f_formulate_hard_pack
re-pinned 4/12 → 12/12. make test 2358 passed, 28 skipped.

#000048 → steps 2.1 + 2.4 landed; #000046 / #000012 §8 / TICKETS.md /
Makefile / fixture _meta + notes updated.
2026-05-11 17:09:06 -04:00

30 KiB
Raw Blame History

QA-modes bench — 2026-05-02

Date: 2026-05-02 Endpoint: https://hermes.ai.unturf.com/v1 (Hermes-3-Llama-3.1-8B-FP8-Dynamic, vLLM, 82K ctx) Corpus: Wikipedia 2003-05-16 cur snapshot, sharded under ~/.arborist/shards

Two sweeps landed today, each 71 questions × 3 modes:

stamp samples concurrency scheduling runs wall-clock
11:31Z n=2 c=4 cell-grouped 426 51 min
15:07Z n=3 c=4 sample-shuffled, --seed 0 639 48 min

The 15:07Z sweep is the authoritative state of the substrate at end-of-day; the 11:31Z sweep is the intermediate witnessed before the second wave of hardening landed. Headlines below show both.

Hardening since the prior bench (2026-04-30 post-retry)

Substrate-side (between 2026-04-30T18:46Z and 2026-05-02T11:31Z):

  • Rule 8 — title-relevance promoted to hard verifier check (TITLE_MISMATCH violation demotes STRICT → HYBRID when no cited evidence's source title shares a stemmed token with the claim).
  • Anchor-class warrant generalized to entity-list / count / why-cause shapes (Ticket #000003).
  • Retrieval-plan hash bound into the run-DAG retrieval stage (Ticket #000001).
  • Reference-frame polarity contract (Ticket #000002).
  • Four-rung ladder display (Ticket #000005) — POINTER-LINKED → ANCHOR-WARRANTED → EVIDENCE-WARRANTED → (ENTAILMENT-VERIFIED reserved) mapped from the v9.8 audit_mode trichotomy at render time.
  • Bench harness extended with directive coverage + log-scale buckets to 1M (Ticket #000004).

Substrate-side (between 2026-05-02T11:31Z and 2026-05-02T15:07Z):

  • Sprint 1b — per-mode max_context_chars. Bench's recommended-context-budget table flows back into DEFAULT_QUERY_POLICY["max_context_chars_by_mode"]: quote 24 KB, pointer 24 KB, JSON 48 KB. Folds into governance_policy_hash.
  • Sprint 2 — pointer Rule 9: chunk-specificity instruction added to the lattice-pointer system prompt.
  • DRY collapse — the four lattice prompts (system + grounding × pointer + JSON) lifted to arborist/qa/prompts.py as a single source of truth, imported by both runner.DEFAULT_POLICY and query.DEFAULT_QUERY_POLICY.
  • httpx persistent client — the chat-completion path used to construct a fresh httpx.Client per call, paying a TLS handshake every request. Move to __init__; HTTP/1.1 keep-alive across calls. Save 1-2 min on a 426-call bench.
  • Sample-level shuffled bench scheduling — every (question, mode, sample_idx) is a task, shuffled with --seed, dispatched concurrently. Per-cell Lock dict serializes burn-then-write on the shared cache_key. True i.i.d. n=3 variance; vLLM batcher fed a diverse request stream.
  • Bench --resume — read existing JSONL, skip done tasks, append fresh rows. Stop/start-able.
  • Concurrency sweep on the smoke fixture. vLLM peaks at c=3-4; saturates badly past c=4 (see Wall-clock & throughput below).
  • UTF-16 surrogate fix v2 (41d1d9b) — corpus chunks with lone surrogates broke httpx's outbound JSON encode. Scrub at the client boundary by WTF-8 → UTF-8-with-replace roundtrip. (The earlier v1 fix 3b91223 hardened the OUTPUT side — SHA-256 hashers — but missed the INPUT side. Both paths now safe.)

Aggregate (15:07Z, authoritative)

mode runs STRICT HYBRID UNGROUNDED err strict-rate mean ratio mean latency
quote 213 116 51 46 0 0.54 0.699 16.9 s
claim_lattice_pointer 213 43 146 21 3 0.20 0.642 18.5 s
claim_lattice (JSON) 213 89 82 39 3 0.42 0.698 18.3 s

Δ across the day

mode 2026-04-30 (post-retry) 2026-05-02T11:31Z 2026-05-02T15:07Z net Δ
quote 0.47 0.50 (+3pp) 0.54 (+4pp) +7pp
claim_lattice_pointer 0.24 0.23 (−1pp) 0.20 (−3pp) −4pp
claim_lattice (JSON) 0.50 0.44 (−6pp) 0.42 (−2pp) −8pp

Quote climbed the most across the day, ending at 0.54. The Sprint 1b 24 KB cap surfaces tighter retrievals that quote can ground verbatim (the bucket data confirms — quote's peak migrated to 8-16 KB at 0.58 strict-rate).

Pointer & JSON each took an honesty cost. Rule 8 promotion + warrant-class generalization demote more cases that would have classified STRICT under the looser pre-2026-05-02 verifier. The architectural win — 99% directive coverage on lattice modes — is the price for those drops; false-positive STRICT was corruption, and we converted it to honest HYBRID.

Per-bucket strict-rate (15:07Z)

mode bucket runs strict-rate note
quote 8-16 KB 105 0.58 peak
quote 16-32 KB 105 0.52
claim_lattice_pointer 16-32 KB 210 0.20 peak (only bucket)
claim_lattice (JSON) 32-64 KB 99 0.48 peak
claim_lattice (JSON) 16-32 KB 108 0.38

Sprint 1b's intent confirmed. JSON's peak at 32-64 KB justifies the 48 KB default. Quote's peak migrated to 8-16 KB after the 24 KB cap; the cap may be tighter than optimal — quote could plausibly be cut to 16 KB (mid of 8-16 KB bucket) for another small lift in a follow-up sprint.

claim_lattice (JSON) peaks at LARGER context than the other modes. The structured per-claim evidence linkage that JSON enforces benefits from more evidence per claim. Pointer & quote degrade past 16-32 KB.

5-run minimum to reduce noise; from the 15:07Z bucket data:

mode peak bucket strict-rate n
quote 8-16 KB 0.58 105
claim_lattice_pointer 16-32 KB 0.20 210
claim_lattice (JSON) 32-64 KB 0.48 99

These flow into DEFAULT_QUERY_POLICY["max_context_chars_by_mode"] (currently 24 / 24 / 48 KB — mid of each peak bucket). When the bench shifts those peaks, retune the policy and let governance_policy_hash partition the cache.

Directive coverage (seven-point program)

mode D2 pointer D3 cti-ready D4 ev-map bound D6 warrant D7 honest label
quote 0/213 (0%) 0/213 (0%) 213/213 (100%) 0/213 (0%) 213/213 (100%)
claim_lattice_pointer 210/213 (99%) 210/213 (99%) 210/213 (99%) 210/213 (99%) 210/213 (99%)
claim_lattice 210/213 (99%) 210/213 (99%) 210/213 (99%) 210/213 (99%) 210/213 (99%)

Lattice modes hit 99% on every observable directive; the 1% gap is the 6 surrogate errors (already fixed in 41d1d9b, next bench will hit 100%). Quote shows 0% on D2 / D3 / D6 by construction (those are lattice-only directives) and 100% on D4 / D7.

Pointer-mode signal — where the gap lives

Pointer mode's strict-rate did not lift on Sprint 2's chunk-specificity prompt nudge. The load-bearing failure pattern is lazy-anchoring: the model cites a topic-overview chunk for every claim instead of the specific chunk that supports each individual claim. Lazy-anchor ratio histogram (11:31Z bench, 142 pointer rows):

lazy_anchor_ratio bucket rows
0.00 25
<0.25 9
<0.5 11
<0.75 46
>=0.75 49 (35%)

35% of pointer rows anchor ≥75% of claims to a topic chunk. This is the failure pattern Rule 8 was promoted to catch — when the lazy-anchor target's source title shares zero stemmed content tokens with the claim, the run demotes STRICT → HYBRID via TITLE_MISMATCH. The honesty surfaces; the structural lift requires a stronger intervention (evidence-map ranking change, model fine-tune, or a different prompt frame).

19 of 71 questions show JSON ≥ 50pp above pointer, including:

pointer=HH  json=SS   did napoleon really die on saint helena?
pointer=HH  json=SS   name simpsons family members including pets?
pointer=HH  json=SS   what are the planets of our solar system?
pointer=HH  json=SS   what country is the city of prague in?
pointer=HH  json=SS   what is the boltzmann constant?
pointer=UU  json=SS   what is the difference between http and ftp?
pointer=HH  json=SS   when did the soviet union dissolve?
pointer=HH  json=SS   where does the nile river begin?
pointer=HH  json=SS   where is mount kilimanjaro located?
pointer=HH  json=SS   who is supermans girlfriend?
pointer=HH  json=SS   who painted the mona lisa?
pointer=HH  json=SS   who said may the force be with you?
pointer=HH  json=SS   who were the original seven mercury astronauts?
pointer=HH  json=SS   why did the dinosaurs go extinct?

(plus 5 more.) These are factual single-fact questions where JSON's structured per-claim evidence linkage forces the model to pick the specific chunk; pointer's prose-with-tags lets the model lazy-anchor to the topic article and Rule 8 catches it.

subject_in_answer is high across all rungs (STRICT 100%, HYBRID 92%, UNGROUNDED 84%) — the subject is in the answer; the answer just doesn't anchor cleanly to a single chunk. This is structural-honesty signal, not deflection.

Wall-clock & throughput evolution

stamp concurrency scheduling n tasks wall-clock tasks/min mean latency (mode)
11:31Z 4 cell-grouped 2 426 51 min 8.4 26-29 s
15:07Z 4 sample-shuffled 3 639 48 min 13.3 17-19 s

Sample-level shuffled scheduling at the same concurrency delivers +58% throughput. n=3 (50% more total work) ran in 6% LESS wall-clock than n=2 cell-grouped. Per-call mean latency dropped 35-42% across all modes (quote 29.1 s → 16.9 s, pointer 26.7 s → 18.5 s, JSON 28.2 s → 18.3 s) because vLLM's continuous batcher fills better when fed a diverse, uncorrelated request stream.

Concurrency sweep (smoke fixture, 15-task)

c wall-clock tasks/min normalized
3 102 s 8.8 1.00 (peak)
4 106 s 8.5 0.96 (chosen — within 4% of peak, more forgiving on single-call hiccups)
5 119 s 7.6 0.86
6 185 s 4.9 0.55 (vLLM batching ceiling, brutal)

vLLM saturates at c=3-4 on this endpoint. More concurrent requests fill the batch better, but only up to the point where per-call latency growth outpaces parallelism gain. Re-sweep when the endpoint is upgraded, when corpus shape changes the average context size, or when other tenants change the queue.

Errors

Across both benches: 2 errors at 11:31Z, 6 errors at 15:07Z — all on the same question (tell me about the roman empire). Lone UTF-16 surrogates in Wikipedia chunk content, two distinct paths:

  • v1 (3b91223) — hardened SHA-256 hashers on the OUTPUT side (arborist/qa/dag.py, keys.py, evidence.py, store.py audit chain) with errors='surrogatepass' so the run-DAG roots survive surrogate-bearing model output.
  • v2 (41d1d9b) — scrubs message content INSIDE OpenAICompatibleClient.chat_completion before httpx's outbound JSON encode. The corpus chunk text was the path; httpx's .encode('utf-8') on the request body raised before the call left the client.

Verified: tell me about the roman empire under claim_lattice now classifies HYBRID 5/7 instead of erroring. Next bench will land 0 errors.

Verdict & per-mode recommendation

Quote leads on raw lexical grounding (0.54 strict-rate). Best when the four-rung ladder isn't needed and the answer is short-and-cite-able. Doesn't surface anchor-class warrants.

JSON leads among lattice modes (0.42). Recommended default for cache-grade provenance. Structured per-claim evidence linkage; peaks at larger context (32-64 KB) so it scales with evidence growth.

Pointer (0.20) stays useful for low-context-budget scenarios (16-32 KB peak) and prose-distribution models that struggle with JSON grammar; the lazy-anchor honesty cost is the trade.

The directive-coverage table (99% across every observable D2-D7 on lattice modes) is the architectural win. False-positive STRICT was corruption; converting it to honest HYBRID was the price of calibration. Strict-rate slipped on lattice modes; the substrate is more honest.

Outputs

  • bench/qa_results/2026-05-02T11-31-55Z.{jsonl,md} — 426 rows
  • bench/qa_results/2026-05-02T15-07-24Z.{jsonl,md} — 639 rows

(Both gitignored under bench/qa_results/. Headlines & analysis live in this journal.)


Addendum — 2026-05-03 broad-quantifier A/B (Ticket #000008)

This journal froze the 2026-05-02 substrate baseline. On 2026-05-03 Ticket #000008 (broad-quantifier preflight guard) landed Phases 0–4 and ran a four-cell A/B on a 9-question broad subset (bench/qa_questions_quantifier_subset.txt, 81 runs per cell).

Findings relevant to this journal's per-mode recommendations:

  • JSON-mode strict-rate moves under cap-only: 0.19 baseline → 0.33 with quantifier_guard_apply_caps=true (+14pp on the broad subset). The recommendation here that "JSON leads among lattice modes" still holds, but the headroom above 0.42 globally is partly dependent on broad-vs-narrow question mix.
  • Pointer-mode stays at 0/27 STRICT on broad questions across all four A/B cells. The 0.20 strict-rate above is across the full 71-question set; the broad subset alone is structurally unfavorable to pointer mode regardless of cap or reminder.
  • Reminder eliminates FORMAT_COLLAPSED: 2/27 → 0/27 on pointer mode under quantifier_reminder_enabled=true.
  • Cap and reminder help DIFFERENT failure modes: reminder rescues UNGROUNDED → HYBRID (restates citation rule); cap rescues HYBRID → STRICT (forces fewer-but-better claims). Compound effect on pointer mean-ratio is best at 0.684 (vs 0.473 baseline).

See docs/tickets/ticket-000008-broad-quantifier-preflight-guard.md §12 for the four-cell data and the §10.8 decision-tree verdict. Bench artifacts: bench/qa_results/2026-05-03T12-{29-53,38-53,47-23,54-11}Z.{jsonl,md}.

Addendum 2 — preflight ON vs OFF validation (2026-05-03T23-06-21Z)

After ticket #000010 flipped quantifier_reminder_enabled=True and shipped metacognition_enabled=True defaults, ran a preflight-OFF cell to validate the flip didn't regress baseline behavior. Same 9-question broad subset (bench/qa_questions_quantifier_subset.txt), n=3, policy override --policy metacognition_enabled=false --policy quantifier_reminder_enabled=false.

Compared against §12.6 reminder-only baseline (cleanest single-knob on-cell). On this 9-question subset, none of the metacognition detectors fire (no temporal / contradiction / false-premise / out- of-corpus shapes), so the comparison effectively isolates the reminder contribution.

Metric OFF ON Δ
quote strict-rate 0.63 0.52 −11pp (noise band on 27 samples)
pointer strict-rate 0.00 0.00 0
JSON strict-rate 0.26 0.22 −4pp
pointer mean ratio 0.483 0.643 +16pp
JSON mean ratio 0.570 0.735 +17pp
JSON UNGROUNDED rate 7/27 (26%) 1/27 (4%) −22pp
pointer FORMAT_COLLAPSED 2/27 0/27 −100%
pointer NO_EVIDENCE_POINTER 8/27 6/27 −7pp

Interpretation:

  • Mean-ratio improvement is robust (+16-17pp on lattice modes). Grounded rows are MORE thoroughly grounded under preflight ON.
  • JSON UNGROUNDED collapse is dramatic (−22pp). The "didn't ground" pool reclassifies into "partially grounded" — operator- visible win.
  • FORMAT_COLLAPSED elimination on pointer mode (2 → 0). The reminder restates the [E\d+] citation rule and Hermes follows it.
  • STRICT-rate moves are within noise. Quote-mode dipped 11pp, but quote is mode-gated off the guard so this is pure Hermes nondeterminism — the §10.8 5pp floor exists exactly to filter this. JSON SR moved −4pp (within floor).

Verdict: the #000010 default-on flip is doing what was claimed. Mean-ratio + UNGROUNDED + FORMAT_COLLAPSED metrics all improve by ≥5pp on lattice modes; STRICT-rate is within noise. Defaults stay on.

Bench artifact: bench/qa_results/2026-05-03T23-06-21Z.{jsonl,md}.

Addendum 3 — full-bench regression check (2026-05-03T23-30-12Z)

Validates that the #000010 default flip (reminder default-on for lattice modes) doesn't regress narrow-question performance. The prior validations in Addendum 1 + Addendum 2 used the 9-question broad subset only; this run sweeps the full 75-question bench/qa_questions.txt (~10% broad, ~89% narrow factoid / descriptive / list shapes).

Same harness, n=3 × 3 modes × 75 questions = 225 runs per mode. Compared against the frozen 15:07Z baseline (the authoritative pre-#000008/9/10 state of the substrate, 71 questions × n=3 = 213 runs per mode):

Mode Pre-flip (15:07Z) Post-flip (23:30Z) Δ SR Δ mean ratio
quote 116S/51H/46U · SR 0.54 · ratio 0.699 116S/60H/49U · SR 0.52 · ratio 0.692 −2pp −1pp
claim_lattice_pointer 43S/146H/21U · SR 0.20 · ratio 0.642 48S/145H/32U · SR 0.21 · ratio 0.663 +1pp +2pp
claim_lattice (JSON) 89S/82H/39U · SR 0.42 · ratio 0.698 99S/80H/46U · SR 0.44 · ratio 0.730 +2pp +3pp

All STRICT-rate deltas within the 5pp signal floor. Same question set ±2 (3 added: winners of all major sports?, name all members of the beatles, list all planets in the solar system).

Substrate-level findings:

  • Pointer-mode FORMAT_COLLAPSED: 0/225 across the full sweep. The default-on reminder eliminates the collapse mode globally, not just on broad questions where it was originally measured.
  • Pointer-mode NO_EVIDENCE_POINTER: 29/225 (13%) — lower than the 33% we saw on broad-only (9/27) when reminder was off. Reminder discipline propagates to non-broad questions even though the reminder text only fires on broad shapes (the broader signal is that the reminder text reinforces the citation rule across the model's session attention).
  • Quote-mode is essentially unchanged (-2pp SR, -1pp ratio). Quote opts out of the guard (quantifier_guard_modes default excludes quote), so this is pure Hermes nondeterminism on a 225-sample cell.
  • JSON-mode mean ratio +3pp — small but positive, consistent with the broad-subset finding that reminder boosts per-claim grounding density.

Latency note. Wall-clock per call jumped from ~17-19s (pre-flip baseline) to ~33-35s on this run. This is endpoint contention on Hermes-3 at the time of measurement, not a feature regression (the new substrate adds zero LLM calls — preflight is pure regex). The throughput numbers in §6 of the journal pre-date this evening's network conditions; future bench cycles should normalize.

Verdict — no regression. The #000010 default flip ships clean across the full corpus, not just the broad-quantifier subset where it was originally validated. Defaults stay on. The substrate is strictly more honest under preflight (FORMAT_COLLAPSED → 0, NO_EVIDENCE_POINTER ↓) without sacrificing throughput on non-broad questions.

Bench artifact: bench/qa_results/2026-05-03T23-30-12Z.{jsonl,md}.

Addendum 4 — metacog-trigger detector validation (2026-05-04T02-18-42Z)

The validations above (Addendum 1-3) covered the broad-quantifier subset and the full corpus, neither of which contains questions that fire the #000010 metacog detectors (temporal sensitivity, contradiction, false-premise-lite, out-of-corpus). This addendum closes that empirical gap.

Fixture: bench/qa_questions_metacog_subset.txt — 6 questions, one per detector kind plus a control:

who is the current CEO of OpenAI?               # stale_risk
which character is alive and dead?              # contradictory
when did George Washington stop being president  # false_premise +
  of France?                                    #   stale_risk (multi)
what does my uploaded contract say about        # out_of_corpus
  clause 9?
when did the current CEO of Twitter stop        # stale_risk +
  being CEO of Tesla?                           #   false_premise
who painted the mona lisa?                      # control (well_formed)

Run: n=3 × 6 questions × 3 modes = 54 rows.

Per-question verdict matrix:

question (detector) quote pointer JSON
Current CEO (stale_risk) 0/0/3 U 0/0/3 U 0/0/3 U
Alive+dead (contradictory) 0/0/3 U 3/0/0 S 3/0/0 S
Wash. stop France (FP) 0/0/3 U 0/3/0 H 3/0/0 S
Uploaded contract (OOC) 0/3/0 H 0/1/2 U 3/0/0 S
Twitter→Tesla (multi) 0/0/3 U 3/0/0 S 0/0/3 U
Mona Lisa (control) 3/0/0 S 1/2/0 S 3/0/0 S

(S/H/U = STRICT/HYBRID/UNGROUNDED; n=3 each cell.)

Findings:

  1. Detector accuracy is 6/6. All trigger questions fire the expected logical_statuses value during preflight (verified programmatically before the bench: stale_risk, contradictory_question, false_premise_suspected, out_of_corpus_risk — matched 1:1 with fixture intent). The detectors are doing what their unit tests claim.

  2. Quote mode is the most honest fallback. 4 of 5 trigger questions land all-UNGROUNDED on quote mode. The paraphrase verifier won't substring-match across the corpus when the question's premise has no anchor. Quote mode's mode-gated-off guard works in our favor here.

  3. Lattice modes accidentally ground 2 trigger questions to STRICT. Schrödinger's cat (alive+dead) JSON STRICT is defensible — the corpus contains quantum-mechanics articles that legitimately discuss the state. But:

    • JSON STRICT on "when did George Washington stop being president of France?" is NOT defensible. False premise; the model invented an answer that lexically grounded against some chunk. The metacog detector correctly flagged false_premise_suspected; the audit-line tail surfaced · false premise; but the verdict still lands STRICT.
    • JSON STRICT on "what does my uploaded contract say about clause 9?" is the same shape: out-of-corpus reference, model fabricates a grounding.
  4. Audit-line tails are doing operator-warning duty correctly. The bench rows persist preflight_logical_statuses and the render layer tails (· stale risk, · false premise, etc.) even on STRICT verdicts — operator sees the warning. But the substrate doesn't refuse execution by default for these shapes.

Implication for #000011 (SOFT_PREFLIGHT_HINT). This bench validates the design rationale for the soft-sidecar ticket: the deterministic metacog detectors flag these shapes correctly, but the corpus accidentally grounds 2/5 of them to STRICT. A model- assisted soft preflight could add independent semantic skepticism ("does George Washington being president of France match historical reality?") that the lexical detectors can't supply. Soft sidecar output would surface as · soft: false_premise_* on the audit-line, distinct from the hard · false premise tail, giving operators a stronger warning when both signals fire.

Implication for default policy. Keep metacognition_block_on_contradiction=False as the default. Schrödinger's cat (alive+dead) would have been rejected unnecessarily under a hard-block, and that's a real-world question with a legitimate answer. The label-only default is correct; operators wanting strictness opt in via --block-on-contradiction.

Bench artifact: bench/qa_results/2026-05-04T02-18-42Z.{jsonl,md}.

Addendum 5 — #000046 Phase 3 verifier numeric-gate regression check (2026-05-11)

arborist/qa/verify.py gained a paraphrase numeric-agreement gate (_numeric_signature + a check in _check_each_with_paraphrase): a span that token-covers the source ≥ paraphrase_coverage but asserts a digit-number the source lacks (modulo thousands-comma) is no longer paraphrase-grounded — it goes to unverified. Closes #000046 by lifting the falsification-hard-v1.jsonl rate 4/12 → 6/12 (5f-fal-hard-004 50-vs-100 and -007 300-vs-300,000 → UNGROUNDED).

Before/after make bench-qa (n=3 × 75 questions × 3 modes = 675 cells):

mode STRICT-rate before → after Δ
quote 0.53 → 0.50 −3pp
claim_lattice_pointer 0.23 → 0.25 +2pp
claim_lattice 0.44 → 0.45 +1pp

All within the 5-pp noise floor. Per-row diff (675 common cells, 74 changed audit_mode): the only clearly gate-attributable QA shift was the fictional "our cold fusion breakthrough" year-claim demoting STRICT → HYBRID across all 3 samples — a correct demotion (the year isn't grounded). Every other transition was quote→quote / claim_lattice→claim_lattice LLM re-answer variance — the answer text changed on the re-run, not the verifier (the gate touches only the paraphrase fallback, never the verbatim/span/entity/claim-lattice paths). No regression on legitimate answers; the gate ships.

Bench artifacts: bench/qa_results/2026-05-11T13-42-38Z.{jsonl,md} (before) · bench/qa_results/2026-05-11T14-19-51Z.{jsonl,md} (after). Full per-ticket detail: docs/tickets/ticket-000046-harder-5sf-fixture-tier.md §5 Phase 3.

Addendum 6 — #000048 step 2.1 verifier entity-gate regression check (2026-05-11)

arborist/qa/verify.py gained an entity salient-token-disagreement gate (_entity_salient_disagrees + _is_single_sentence): in verify_quotes' entity branch (proximity policy), the weakest grounding — not cluster AND len(verified) <= 1 AND single sentence — is declined (→ UNGROUNDED) when the answer asserts a > 4-char capitalized content token (stopword-filtered) or a digit-number the source lacks. Catches "Insulin was discovered by Alexander Fleming" against "Penicillin was discovered by Alexander Fleming" (shared "Alexander Fleming" matched; swapped subject "Insulin" trips the gate). Lifts the falsification-hard-v1.jsonl rate 6/12 → 10/12 (the 4 HYBRID_ENTITY over-grounds: Insulin / Berlin / 1889 / Pacific).

Before/after make bench-qa (n=3 × 75 questions × 3 modes = 675 cells):

mode STRICT-rate before → after Δ
quote 0.50 → 0.54 +4pp
claim_lattice_pointer 0.25 → 0.22 −3pp
claim_lattice 0.45 → 0.43 −2pp

All within the 5-pp noise floor. Per-row diff (675 common cells, 30 quote-mode rows changed audit_mode): 0 quote-mode rows demoted to UNGROUNDED from the entity path — the gate didn't fire on a single legitimate QA answer in the whole bench. Every quote-mode transition was LLM re-answer variance (verifier quote→quote with the verdict flipping = a different answer text); the pointer/lattice deltas are noise too (the gate is in verify_quotes / quote mode, not the claim-lattice verifier). The gate is provably narrow on real traffic; it ships.

Bench artifacts: bench/qa_results/2026-05-11T14-19-51Z.{jsonl,md} (before — HEAD's verify.py) · bench/qa_results/2026-05-11T17-12-41Z.{jsonl,md} (after). Full per-ticket detail: docs/tickets/ticket-000048-verifier-upgrade-recombination-segmentation.md §5 step 2.1.

Addendum 7 — #000048 step 2.4 parse_pointer_claims clause-segmentation regression check (2026-05-11)

arborist/qa/parse_claims.py gained a clause segmenter: a line that crams several well-pointered claims onto one row is split into one claim per clause (split on ;, sentence boundaries, spaced dashes, and/or/because/although/since/while, inline (N) enumeration markers, commas — with (?![^\[]*\]) so a comma inside a [E1, E2] bracket never splits it). _segment_line keeps the split only if every resulting segment is well-pointered (a legit single claim like "The cat is black and white [E1]." or "The cast: A, B, C [E1]." is never broken — splitting would create pointer-less fragments → guard rejects; a leading colon-terminated header — "Two facts:", "Key points:" — is dropped). Plus a wrapped-bullet join: a continuation line (leading whitespace then a lowercase letter, no bullet) folds into the previous claim. Closes the 8 mis-segments in formulate-hard-v1.jsonl → rate 4/12 → 12/12 (that pack now at ceiling).

Before/after make bench-qa (n=3 × 75 questions × 3 modes = 675 cells; parse_pointer_claims feeds the 450 claim_lattice_pointer + claim_lattice cells):

mode STRICT-rate before → after Δ
quote 0.54 → 0.55 +1pp
claim_lattice_pointer 0.22 → 0.22 0pp
claim_lattice 0.43 → 0.45 +2pp

All within the 5-pp noise floor. Per-row diff (675 common cells): the segmenter changed the parsed-claim count on the same answer text for 7 of the 450 lattice cells (0 in claim_lattice, 7 in claim_lattice_pointer); of those, 2 caused an audit_mode change — both correct: (a) a wrap-join recovered an answer's intended structure (4 claims, 2 of which were pointer-less wrap-fragments → HYBRID) into 2 well-pointered claims → STRICT; (b) a crammed-one-line blob (1 monolithic claim, all pointers → STRICT) split into 8 claims, some of which don't individually verify → HYBRID — the honest verdict (false-positive STRICT was the corruption). Every other lattice/quote delta is LLM re-answer variance (answer_chars changed, often drastically). No regression — the segmenter's only visible effects on real traffic are honest improvements.

Bench artifacts: bench/qa_results/2026-05-11T17-12-41Z.{jsonl,md} (before — HEAD's parse_claims.py) · bench/qa_results/2026-05-11T20-26-37Z.{jsonl,md} (after). Full per-ticket detail: docs/tickets/ticket-000048-verifier-upgrade-recombination-segmentation.md §5 step 2.4.