arborist/bench
russell@unturf.com 967fedbbe0
#000065: pin M=4 + bench script + SQLite-alternative decision tree
Pinned the canonical shard count at M = 4 based on real-Wikipedia
ingest + query benchmark (bench/shard_count_sweep.py). Captured the
"when does SQLite stop being the right substrate" decision tree so
future operators know what bench would justify a fork or replacement.

Bench numbers (Wikipedia 2003 cur dump, 2000 docs, 4 cells of
M ∈ {1, 2, 4, 8}, 50 FTS queries per cell):

     M   chunks/s    q_p50_ms    q_p99_ms   attach_ms
     1    3,648        0.05        0.20        1.61
     2    5,649        0.03        0.19        3.24
     4    6,405        0.07        0.30        9.00
     8    6,959        0.03        0.28        9.65

Key observations:
- M=1→M=2 is the biggest ingest win (+55%). Most gain happens there.
- M=2→M=4 is +13%. M=4→M=8 is only +9% — diminishing returns.
- Real wikitext canonicalization is per-worker Python CPU bound, not
  SQLite-writer-lock bound. More shards don't unlock more CPU.
- Query p50/p99 is flat across M within noise (50 queries small).
- ATTACH cost grows linearly: 1.6 / 3.2 / 9.0 / 9.7 ms.

Why M=4 specifically:
- Captures 92% of peak ingest throughput (6,405 / 6,959).
- 6 ATTACH slots free under SQLite's 10 ceiling for aux DBs
  (qa.db, snapshots.db, selfmodel-chain.db, crawl_*.db, future
  mesh_*.db) — comfortable headroom. M=8 leaves only 2 slots.
- Mobile-tolerable: phone NAND attach is 5-10x slower than NVMe;
  M=4 = 45-90 ms cold start (instant), M=8 = 50-100 ms (sluggish
  with no headroom).
- Matches fox's current 4-shard layout = cheapest migration.

Decision tree for when SQLite stops being right (full text in
ticket §"When the SQLite-default substrate stops being right"):

A. ATTACH ceiling pressure (auxiliary DBs grow past 5) → bench
   forked SQLite with SQLITE_MAX_ATTACHED=125, M ∈ {16, 32, 64};
   if attach cost stays linear past M=10, fork viable but pays
   permanent "no longer stock sqlite3" tax.

B. Ingest hits >10k chunks/s sustained ceiling → first tune
   page_size / WAL checkpoint / mmap_size / synchronous. If
   tuning gets 2-5x, stay on SQLite. If still ceiling-limited,
   candidates: DuckDB (columnar, MVCC, FTS), libmdbx (B+tree no
   FTS; we'd build it). In-house DB rejected without specific
   failure of those.

C. Federation needs multi-writer-same-shard → SQLite writer-lock
   serializes peers, becomes federation bottleneck. First try
   leader-election (single-writer-per-shard with WAL replication
   to followers). If true multi-writer required, SQLite is wrong;
   candidates: FoundationDB, CRDT-on-KV-store. DuckDB does NOT
   solve this — its MVCC is single-process.

Honest verdict: for current arborist workload (single-writer-per-
shard, read-mostly federation), stock python3 sqlite3 is the right
substrate. None of A/B/C are close to firing. The bench discipline
exists to know what to measure when something changes.

bench/results/shard-count-sweep-2026-05-26T16-20-48Z.csv (synthetic
baseline) + 2026-05-26T16-31-34Z.csv (real Wikipedia) committed as
the load-bearing measurement for the M=4 choice.
2026-05-26 12:40:48 -04:00
..
batteries #000025 §10.11 + §10.13 + §10.14 — close the 5F battery 2026-05-11 07:41:37 -04:00
fixtures #000052 §3.2.2 step 3 part B: real-context MIS-CITE fixtures (n=20) — bge-large catches 100% of mis-cite at strictly 0% real-STRICT FP (the Zionist failure mode is fully covered with margin) 2026-05-13 15:27:58 -04:00
results #000065: pin M=4 + bench script + SQLite-alternative decision tree 2026-05-26 12:40:48 -04:00
scripts feat(#000049 §7 #28): tinygrad NLI backend + deterministic engine-agreement A/B; ONNX-immunity rationale 2026-05-19 12:34:04 -04:00
analyze_judge_disagreement.py feat(#000057): reconcile code judge against Opus — 4 calibrated rules 2026-05-19 18:14:38 -04:00
control_ab.py fix(#000057): control_ab header prints actual model/answer_mode/judge 2026-05-21 12:37:24 -04:00
control_sweep.py feat: STOCK V.1 two-mode config family + wire treatment arms to the pin 2026-05-21 10:15:26 -04:00
emergent_log.jsonl #000006 — +30 emergent cycles (2026-05-12); verifier-ladder health re-confirmed 2026-05-12 11:28:57 -04:00
es_delta.py feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
es_join_patterns.py feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
es_roundtrip_analysis.py feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
jaggedness.py feat(#000060): bench/jaggedness.py — deterministic retrieval jaggedness instrument 2026-05-21 08:38:07 -04:00
judge.py feat(#000057): fail-closed Opus judge gate — ARBORIST_JUDGE_ENABLE=1 to run 2026-05-19 17:26:06 -04:00
judge_code.py docs+code: ground §12 judge pipeline in the actual judge_code.py 2026-05-22 19:17:28 -04:00
load_monitor.py feat: bench/load_monitor.py — stdlib request-load monitor for single-slot endpoints 2026-05-21 09:20:53 -04:00
make_es_questions.py feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
make_lang_questions.py feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
mine_questions.py fix(#000057): solo arm never ran — chat_completion(model=) was omitted 2026-05-19 11:49:30 -04:00
prometheus_sigma_trigger_probe.py #000012 Phase 1c follow-through: wire #000037 §12 Trigger 1 probe to fork_score_branches 2026-05-11 06:56:09 -04:00
qa_questions.txt aborist/arborist 2026-05-07 09:31:49 -04:00
qa_questions_accent.txt feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_accent_map.json feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_amp.txt feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_amp_map.json feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_brit.txt feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_brit_map.json feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_canonical_witness_npower.txt three-thread session output: stale TODOs, N-power probe, ForkScore Phase 1c 2026-05-10 07:46:35 -04:00
qa_questions_es.txt feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
qa_questions_es_map.json feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
qa_questions_fr.txt feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
qa_questions_fr_map.json feat: cross-language Q&A (Operation Sandwich) + Windows quickstart — all default-OFF 2026-05-18 12:12:23 -04:00
qa_questions_honorific.txt feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_honorific_map.json feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_hyphen.txt feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_hyphen_map.json feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
qa_questions_metacog_subset.txt qa(#000011 + 4 more): SOFT_PREFLIGHT_HINT impl + 5-task fan-out 2026-05-03 23:00:56 -04:00
qa_questions_numeral.txt fix(#000057): restore numeral fixture clobbered by b573c59 (40 entries, not 5) 2026-05-19 11:12:12 -04:00
qa_questions_numeral_map.json fix(#000057): restore numeral fixture clobbered by b573c59 (40 entries, not 5) 2026-05-19 11:12:12 -04:00
qa_questions_progressive_and.txt bench: progressive-AND fixture + 2026-05-09 A/B baseline report 2026-05-10 06:35:18 -04:00
qa_questions_quantifier_baseline.txt bench(#000008): harness extension — FC rate, violation kinds, raw brackets 2026-05-02 18:35:08 -04:00
qa_questions_quantifier_subset.txt ticket(#000008): §12 dry-run bench findings + --policy harness flag 2026-05-03 08:39:20 -04:00
qa_questions_smoke.txt speed: pytest-xdist, bench smoke, concurrency default; UTF surrogate fix 2026-05-02 09:29:40 -04:00
qa_questions_stale.txt feat(#000057): parallel + incremental + huge-N control sweep 2026-05-19 13:00:45 -04:00
qa_questions_stale_map.json feat(#000057): parallel + incremental + huge-N control sweep 2026-05-19 13:00:45 -04:00
qa_questions_warrant_chain_aggressive.txt bench: aggressive warrant fixture confirms Phase 3 is rescue-only, not default-path 2026-05-10 09:53:21 -04:00
qa_questions_warrant_chain_paraphrase.txt bench: Phase 3 paraphrase fixture investigation — empirically dormant on current corpus 2026-05-10 10:06:23 -04:00
qa_questions_warrant_chain_probe.txt bench: #000031 Phase 3 A/B finds mechanism dormant on warrant-targeted fixture 2026-05-10 09:37:27 -04:00
qa_sweep.py bench/qa_sweep: scrub lone surrogates from the NLI-shadow answer_text/context fields before json.dumps 2026-05-12 17:04:33 -04:00
recall_at_k.py feat(retrieval): accent-fold (+30pp recall@1) + fold-search factory hardening 2026-05-18 19:23:22 -04:00
run.sh aborist/arborist 2026-05-07 09:31:49 -04:00
score_with_code_judge.py feat(#000057): bench/score_with_code_judge.py — code-judge rescore tool 2026-05-19 17:46:52 -04:00
shard_count_sweep.py #000065: pin M=4 + bench script + SQLite-alternative decision tree 2026-05-26 12:40:48 -04:00
stock_v1.py feat: STOCK V.1 two-mode config family + wire treatment arms to the pin 2026-05-21 10:15:26 -04:00
watt_bench.py fix(#000057): real token usage + cost per input/output separately 2026-05-21 11:41:01 -04:00
watt_calibrate.py feat(#000057): bench/watt_calibrate.py — separate prefill vs decode energy 2026-05-21 11:48:36 -04:00
watt_probe.py fix(#000057): measure power STATES, not a duty-cycle blend; guarantee cache miss 2026-05-21 10:58:56 -04:00