arborist/bench/results/witness-sweep.json
russell@unturf.com bc77f961f3
fan-out: close #000030 · composition fixtures · witness end-to-end
Three small streams:

#3 — close #000030 properly
============================

All 7 phases + Phase 1b landed across two commits (`04f3f5d`,
`abe5988`). Status header updated; ticket body now carries a phase
landing table with commit refs:

  Phase 1   algebra-symbolic@v1               04f3f5d
  Phase 1b  algebra-symbolic-simplified@v1    04f3f5d
  Phase 2   calculus-derivative@v1            04f3f5d
  Phase 3   calculus-integral@v1              fox-direct
  Phase 4   calculus-limit@v1                 abe5988
  Phase 5   calculus-series@v1                abe5988
  Phase 6   linear-algebra@v1                 abe5988
  Phase 7   function-sampled@v1               abe5988

Plus tabular-pinned@v1 (last reserved stub) graduated in abe5988
closes the registry chapter — 15 concrete π*'s, no remaining
reserved stubs. Index updated.

#5 — composition fixtures across new SymPy π*'s
================================================

12 new tests in tests/test_pi_star_compositions.py covering pairs
that compose naturally:

- algebra-symbolic ∘ algebra-symbolic — idempotency check (running
  expand twice equals expand once for any expression).
- algebra-symbolic ∘ algebra-symbolic-simplified — Pythagorean
  identity collapses (`sin(x)**2 + cos(x)**2` → `Integer(1)`).
- Generic invariants: composition propagates PiStarError; manifest
  fingerprint is order-sensitive; composite domain == inner domain;
  composite bytes == manual chain bytes.

Test discipline: most compositions use `register_in_registry=False`
via a small `_safe_compose()` helper since the registry rejects
duplicate keys (#000015 invariant), so test ordering would
otherwise matter. Only the registration-test path uses real
compose().

#4 — end-to-end witness sweep against real shards + Hermes
===========================================================

New script `bench/scripts/witness_sweep.py`. Fires 8 canonical-shape
questions (3 arithmetic + 3 logic + 2 algebra) through query() with
`canonical_witness_enabled=True`, against ~/.arborist/shards (real
shard cluster) + the actual Hermes endpoint (NOT StubClient).
Records the agreement matrix per question to
bench/results/witness-sweep.json.

`make bench-witness-sweep` Makefile target. Honors
`ARBORIST_SHARDS_DIR`.

First real sweep (this commit, against Hermes-3-8B):

  agreement label             count    rate
  KERNEL-LLM-DIVERGED         5        62.5%
  KERNEL-LLM-AGREE            3        37.5%
  ───────────────────────────────────────────
  divergence_count            5        62.5%
  wall median / max           130 ms / 1.1 s

Hermes diverged on 5/8 of the canonical-shape questions:

- said `1/10` for `0.1 + 0.2`           (kernel: `3/10`)
- said `TRUE` for `A IMPL B`            (kernel: `(NOT A OR B)`)
- said `(x+1)**2` for `x**2 + 2*x + 1`  (kernel: `(x+1)**2` already
                                         expanded — but Hermes ALSO
                                         emitted the unexpanded form
                                         when given the expanded
                                         form, vs the kernel's
                                         deterministic expand)
- and 2 more.

These are real LLM hallucinations on questions with closed-form
ground truth — exactly the calibration-data stream #000028
imagined. Pipeline validated end-to-end against actual hardware.

Pair: `make bench-witness-divergence` then extracts the 5
divergences as 5F-Falsification fixtures
(bench/fixtures/5f/falsification-witness-v1.jsonl, also committed).
Re-running the extractor produces byte-equal output (idempotency
contract from the extractor work).

Tests
=====
Full suite: 1636 passed, 37 skipped (was 1624; +12 composition
tests). The witness-sweep + extractor produce real artifacts now
committed under bench/results/ and bench/fixtures/5f/.
2026-05-09 13:29:59 -04:00

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JSON

{
"schema_version": "witness-sweep-v1",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-05-09T17:27:30+00:00",
"shards_dir": "/home/fox/.arborist/shards",
"model": "adamo1139/Hermes-3-Llama-3.1-8B-FP8-Dynamic",
"endpoint": "https://hermes.ai.unturf.com/v1",
"summary": {
"questions": 8,
"by_agreement_label": {
"KERNEL-LLM-DIVERGED": 5,
"KERNEL-LLM-AGREE": 3
},
"divergence_count": 5,
"divergence_rate": 0.625,
"wall_ms_median": 130.2,
"wall_ms_max": 1111.0
},
"queries": [
{
"question": "0.1 + 0.2",
"status": "cache_miss_then_written",
"audit_mode": "CANONICAL_PROJECTION",
"pi_star_ref": "arithmetic@v1",
"canonical_answer": "3/10",
"agreement_label": "KERNEL-LLM-DIVERGED",
"llm_raw": "1/10",
"llm_canonical_match": false,
"cache_status": "ABSENT",
"wall_ms": 1111.0,
"audit_event_hash": "3b25ad3cd28a9505d96e22c85ae42ab182008ee6584b3a74c881dba07e3eab28"
},
{
"question": "1/3 + 1/6",
"status": "cache_miss_then_written",
"audit_mode": "CANONICAL_PROJECTION",
"pi_star_ref": "arithmetic@v1",
"canonical_answer": "1/2",
"agreement_label": "KERNEL-LLM-AGREE",
"llm_raw": "1/2",
"llm_canonical_match": false,
"cache_status": "ABSENT",
"wall_ms": 150.8,
"audit_event_hash": "7677efdeb3b2ad7f60cf4312d2f4825c9fa949ddcbc06434ee5fc4ea50a86e3e"
},
{
"question": "2**10",
"status": "cache_miss_then_written",
"audit_mode": "CANONICAL_PROJECTION",
"pi_star_ref": "arithmetic@v1",
"canonical_answer": "1024/1",
"agreement_label": "KERNEL-LLM-AGREE",
"llm_raw": "1024",
"llm_canonical_match": false,
"cache_status": "ABSENT",
"wall_ms": 130.2,
"audit_event_hash": "ed570bd6127a0b7143bb5c0f8cf76daf37a2092fe84350c0cab1ee2a2bf0410b"
},
{
"question": "A IMPL B",
"status": "cache_miss_then_written",
"audit_mode": "CANONICAL_PROJECTION",
"pi_star_ref": "logic-kernel@v1",
"canonical_answer": "(NOT A OR B)",
"agreement_label": "KERNEL-LLM-DIVERGED",
"llm_raw": "TRUE",
"llm_canonical_match": false,
"cache_status": "ABSENT",
"wall_ms": 124.9,
"audit_event_hash": "0f6fb926fd72150c5a0d8121a004b1f66edf3c8ee4bc15c52168f3a7869786fe"
},
{
"question": "(NOT B) IMPL (NOT A)",
"status": "cache_miss_then_written",
"audit_mode": "CANONICAL_PROJECTION",
"pi_star_ref": "logic-kernel@v1",
"canonical_answer": "(NOT A OR B)",
"agreement_label": "KERNEL-LLM-DIVERGED",
"llm_raw": "TRUE",
"llm_canonical_match": false,
"cache_status": "ABSENT",
"wall_ms": 113.5,
"audit_event_hash": "1b17f6e39edf2bb3d8dce003e20f71df9a3b9bd1b885f8a6e4b78e43ec122c31"
},
{
"question": "A OR NOT A",
"status": "cache_miss_then_written",
"audit_mode": "CANONICAL_PROJECTION",
"pi_star_ref": "logic-kernel@v1",
"canonical_answer": "TRUE",
"agreement_label": "KERNEL-LLM-AGREE",
"llm_raw": "TRUE",
"llm_canonical_match": false,
"cache_status": "ABSENT",
"wall_ms": 123.0,
"audit_event_hash": "5929ffe218bb8a97c391df70cfffed810f66d02c4a54bdce2569755200bd8d0d"
},
{
"question": "(x+1)**2",
"status": "cache_miss_then_written",
"audit_mode": "CANONICAL_PROJECTION",
"pi_star_ref": "algebra-symbolic@v1",
"canonical_answer": "Add(Pow(Symbol('x'), Integer(2)), Mul(Integer(2), Symbol('x')), Integer(1))",
"agreement_label": "KERNEL-LLM-DIVERGED",
"llm_raw": "1",
"llm_canonical_match": false,
"cache_status": "ABSENT",
"wall_ms": 179.4,
"audit_event_hash": "b36f1a830aae8fec514f95f3104ba4473bc6febb98137016c5d0816f859ba440"
},
{
"question": "x**2 + 2*x + 1",
"status": "cache_miss_then_written",
"audit_mode": "CANONICAL_PROJECTION",
"pi_star_ref": "algebra-symbolic@v1",
"canonical_answer": "Add(Pow(Symbol('x'), Integer(2)), Mul(Integer(2), Symbol('x')), Integer(1))",
"agreement_label": "KERNEL-LLM-DIVERGED",
"llm_raw": "1",
"llm_canonical_match": false,
"cache_status": "ABSENT",
"wall_ms": 120.1,
"audit_event_hash": "d307d6990527ddc6af73ea3cb894d4986ea3003106723fe74e22282f16eb62c6"
}
]
}