arborist/bench/qa_questions_warrant_chain_probe.txt
russell@unturf.com dee6623e46
bench: #000031 Phase 3 A/B finds mechanism dormant on warrant-targeted fixture
Bench follow-up to a57b194 ("ticket #000031 Phase 3: warrant-chain-
aware verifier suppresses WARRANT_MISSING"): land the warrant-
targeted probe fixture + capture an A/B comparing pre-Phase 3
(a57b194~1) vs HEAD on 7 questions × 3 modes × n=3.

bench/qa_questions_warrant_chain_probe.txt (new fixture)
========================================================

7 questions targeting claim-pack-resolved topics: Hilbert geometry
(2), Russell classes (1), Cantor diagonal (1), De Morgan (1),
Boolean absorption (1), pigeonhole in Bogart (1). Picked because
their topical match against the 18 textbook substrates +
warrant-resolver derivations should — in principle — drive
retrieval to chain-root chunks where Phase 3's suppression logic
fires.

bench/results/phase3-warrant-chain-A-B-2026-05-10.md (A/B report)
=================================================================

Findings:

- **21/21 cache_keys match BEFORE/AFTER.** Phase 3 doesn't fold
  into governance_policy_hash (warrant_chain_roots is a runtime
  parameter, not a policy field), so retrieval + prompt + LLM
  inputs are byte-identical between conditions. Any STRICT-rate
  movement is real verifier signal, not LLM dice.
- **`warrant_proven_claim_idxs` is non-empty in 0 / 63 AFTER cells.**
  Phase 3's suppression path never fires on this fixture.
- **STRICT-rate: 42/63 → 43/63 (+1 cell, +1.6pp).** Four cells
  move (2 up, 2 down); within n=3 LLM noise.

Why dormant despite warrant-targeted topic selection:

1. Pre-bench probe via `--dry-run --json` showed only 2/7 questions
   retrieve any chain-root sources — the claim-pack textbooks have
   far fewer chunks than Wikipedia, so retrieval defaults to the
   bulkier corpus on general queries.
2. Even on the 2 questions that DO retrieve chain roots, the LLM
   cites the larger Wikipedia chunks more often.
3. On the rare cell where the LLM cites a chain-root chunk, lexical
   `warrant_check` already passes — Phase 3 has nothing to suppress.

Calibration finding, not a defect:

- Phase 3 mechanism is correct (no regression on cells where it
  doesn't fire; cache_keys identical → can't move retrieval).
- The data condition for Phase 3 to actually fire requires a
  fixture where (a) retrieval surfaces chain-root chunks AND
  (b) the LLM cites them AND (c) the cited claim's lexical
  warrant_check fails.
- Future fixture would need very specific terminology that
  biases retrieval AWAY from Wikipedia (exact theorem labels,
  axiom names, etc.).

Same calibration shape as yesterday's progressive-AND smoke A/B
finding: a targeted change can be dormant on the fixture you're
benching against. The bench-fixture-design discipline that ticket
#000037 §12 codifies — "measured trigger, not calendar date" —
applies here too: until a fixture lands that exercises Phase 3,
the suppression mechanism's value is theoretical.
2026-05-10 09:37:27 -04:00

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# Warrant-chain probe fixture — questions targeting claim-pack-resolved
# textbooks (Hilbert geometry, Cantor set theory, Russell logic, De Morgan,
# Boole, Peano arithmetic, Dedekind reals, Judson abstract algebra).
#
# Purpose: exercise the post-#000031-Phase 3 verifier path that suppresses
# WARRANT_MISSING when a cited chunk's document_root has a warrant-resolver
# derivation row. Smoke fixture retrieval lands zero chain hits; this
# fixture's questions explicitly target the 92 chain-resolved sources.
# Pillar IV — Hilbert geometry (18 records)
what does Hilbert's first axiom of incidence state?
what does Hilbert mean by the axiom of order between three points?
# Pillar I — set theory / classes (13 records, Russell + Cantor)
what is Russell's definition of a class?
what does Cantor's diagonal argument prove about real numbers?
# Pillar II — logic (10 records, De Morgan + Boole)
what are De Morgan's laws?
in Boolean algebra, what is the absorption law?
# Pillar VII — combinatorics (14 records, Bogart + Levin)
what is the pigeonhole principle in Bogart?