arborist/docs
russell@unturf.com 4352b84508
#000049 §7 #27: recall-side realism check — synthetic 28/28 was a 4x over-estimate; bart-large-mnli/k=12/max/θc=0.999 is the new fp=0 leader on real haystacks at 0.48 recall (vs §7 #26's claimed 28/28 → 0.24 on real)
Built bench/fixtures/5f/recombination-realcontext-v1.jsonl: 25 hand-built
recombination claims (deliberate re-attributions within real bench-qa
30 KB Wikipedia haystacks the pipeline produced — Mount Kenya into a
Kilimanjaro answer, Galileo onto all 63 Jupiter moons, Joshua Reynolds
onto the Mona Lisa, etc.). Ran the full 7-model × full-grid sweep vs
the 808 pooled STRICT. Result:

- bart-large-mnli / k=12 / max / θc=0.999 → 12/25 = 0.48 catch · 0/808 FP
  (the real-haystack fp=0 leader)
- deberta-large-mnli / k=3 / margin / θc=0.995 → 6/25 = 0.24 (§7 #26's
  'settled' config — 28/28 synthetic, 0.24 real-haystack: 4× over-estimate)
- roberta-large 0.12, MiniLM 0.08, deberta-base 0.04

So §7 #26's 'boundary closed' walks back to 'boundary PARTIALLY closed'
on real haystacks. The bottleneck is architectural: top-k by token
overlap misses the contradicting clause when it shares few subject-area
tokens with the answer (e.g. the Mount Kenya clause only shares 'Kenya'
with a Kilimanjaro claim — ranked low, NLI never sees it). Threshold
tuning doesn't lift the ceiling; a SEMANTIC candidate selector
(vec-driven, sibling of #000050/#000051's hybrid retrieval) does.

bart's pareto above fp=0: fp=0.011 catch=0.52, fp=0.057 catch=0.84,
fp=0.068 catch=0.92 — permissive operating points are on the menu if
fox+dav1d sign off. recommended_operating_point updated to
bart-large-mnli/k=12/max/θc=0.999; deberta-large/margin kept as the
synthetic-eval reference. Sixth meta-lesson instance: clean synthetic
eval doesn't predict bench-qa precision OR recall — neither contrived
dataset axis is load-bearing, only the real pipeline shape is.

Production verifier unchanged; falsification-hard stays 10/12. Still
SHADOW; runtime promotion fox+dav1d-decides.
2026-05-13 06:35:36 -04:00
..
_source #000035 closed — v7 substrate spec into the repo; § 9.10 folded in 2026-05-11 17:06:19 -04:00
diagrams docs/diagrams: rename aborist-modules → arborist-modules (post-rename cleanup) 2026-05-08 07:50:28 -04:00
tickets #000049 §7 #27: recall-side realism check — synthetic 28/28 was a 4x over-estimate; bart-large-mnli/k=12/max/θc=0.999 is the new fp=0 leader on real haystacks at 0.48 recall (vs §7 #26's claimed 28/28 → 0.24 on real) 2026-05-13 06:35:36 -04:00
bench-maxing.md aborist/arborist 2026-05-07 09:31:49 -04:00
benchmarks.md aborist/arborist 2026-05-07 09:31:49 -04:00
calculator-test-patterns.md ticket #000036 Tier-2: dav1d Option B (conservative B1 envelope) applied in v1 2026-05-11 07:06:50 -04:00
cti-architecture.md aborist/arborist 2026-05-07 09:31:49 -04:00
lexical-first-rationale.md docs: lexical-first-rationale.md — why the cheap retrieval path is the default 2026-05-12 09:23:50 -04:00
mesh.md aborist/arborist 2026-05-07 09:31:49 -04:00
pi-star-composition.md pi_star: land ticket #000015 (π* domain library + composition algebra) 2026-05-07 16:51:33 -04:00
qa-modes-bench.md #000048 step 2.4 — parse_pointer_claims clause segmentation 2026-05-11 17:09:06 -04:00
seven-point-program.md tests/doc_counts: regression test for numeric claims in docs/ (4x drift fix) 2026-05-10 16:15:52 -04:00
soft-hash-channel-analysis.md docs/#000018 §9.2: mark resolved — φ_PRG = HMAC-SHA-512 (#000035 closed) 2026-05-11 17:20:48 -04:00
soft-hash-channel-t3-bound.md ticket #000036: add KAT-regen tooling + close 2026-05-11 08:02:25 -04:00
spec-methodology.md docs: land ticket #000019 (spec methodology for π*, V, policy fields) 2026-05-07 16:53:28 -04:00
TICKETS.md #000049 §7 #27: recall-side realism check — synthetic 28/28 was a 4x over-estimate; bart-large-mnli/k=12/max/θc=0.999 is the new fp=0 leader on real haystacks at 0.48 recall (vs §7 #26's claimed 28/28 → 0.24 on real) 2026-05-13 06:35:36 -04:00
tool-action-dag-design.md docs: add tool-action-dag-design.md research path (pre-ticket) 2026-05-07 19:47:50 -04:00
v7w-frontier-catalog.md #000013 closed: v7-W spatial-temporal substrate paper + namespace 2026-05-09 15:00:05 -04:00
v8-fork-score.md CLI: arborist v8 score → arborist substrate score 2026-05-10 09:12:34 -04:00
warrant-substrate-cookbook.md #000047 — close: delta_aggregator knob on ForkScore (Option D) 2026-05-11 08:27:38 -04:00
zk-frontier-bench.md #000016 parked: ZK frontier-proof bench plan + wire protocol 2026-05-09 15:05:08 -04:00
zk-wire-protocol.md #000016 parked: ZK frontier-proof bench plan + wire protocol 2026-05-09 15:05:08 -04:00